The latest allegations from Burundian President Évariste Ndayishimiye, claiming that Rwanda is planning an attack, underscore the fragile relations between the two neighbours.

The Burundian government asserts that it has credible intelligence linking Rwanda to rebel groups such as Red Tabara and M23. However, analysts suggest the issue extends beyond mere allegations, pointing to long-standing regional security complexities. Both countries have played roles in the volatile landscape of the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), where numerous armed factions operate with shifting allegiances.

Burundi’s military presence in eastern DRC stems from a security pact with President Félix Tshisekedi’s government, aimed at neutralising militant groups seen as a threat to its stability. Rwanda, on the other hand, has consistently refuted claims of supporting rebel factions, insisting on its commitment to regional peace.

Rwandan Foreign Minister Olivier Nduhungirehe has dismissed Burundi’s accusations as baseless, emphasising the need for diplomatic engagement to prevent further tensions. Meanwhile, international observers caution that ongoing hostilities could further destabilise the Great Lakes region, which is already burdened by conflict and humanitarian crises.

--ChannelAfrica--